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Memphis vs. Tulaneexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Tulane, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY Tulane @ 68¢ · 24,298 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet TAIWANNUMBERONE took Tulane (buy) for $16.5k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Tulane. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Tulane wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Oct 16, 21:47 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 16, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Tulane
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- TAIWANNUMBERONE
- Tx
- 0x2d8e8c6f…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+4.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Memphis @ 80¢ | $23.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Memphis @ 78¢ | $19.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Memphis @ 77¢ | $15.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Memphis @ 72¢ | $22.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Memphis @ 69¢ | $19.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Memphis @ 69¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| NO Memphis | $19.5k | 67¢ | 7d ago |
| YES Tulane | $12.6k | 57¢ | 7d ago |
| NO Memphis | $21.8k | 48¢ | 7d ago |
| NO Memphis | $18.3k | 48¢ | 7d ago |
| YES Tulane | $10.2k | 48¢ | 7d ago |
| YES Tulane | $11.3k | 45¢ | 7d ago |
| NO Tulane | $10.3k | 64¢ | 7d ago |
| YES Memphis | $12.8k | 61¢ | 7d ago |