$25.5k on San Francisco Giants — San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (0x3dfb…abaf, Sep 11, 22:10 EDT)

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What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on San Francisco Giants, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsexcluded

$25.5k

BUY San Francisco Giants @ 41¢ · 62,118 shares

Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took San Francisco Giants (buy) for $25.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved San Diego Padres. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW

Size $25.5k+1

HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology

What 41¢ means

41%chance the market gave

+144American odds

$1.00paid per share if San Francisco Giants wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price: 41¢
Implied odds: 41.0%
As American odds: +144 no vig
Size: $25.5k
Placed: Sep 11, 22:10 EDT
Market close: Sep 11, 22:15 EDT
Result: San Diego Padres
Counts toward score: no
Wallet: 0x3dfb…abaf
Tx: 0x900064d0…

This wallet's graded record

13/29-10.9 pts

expected 16.2 from price

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Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts

San Francisco Giants price · entry 41¢ · resolved San Diego Padres

Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	LOW SELL San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢	$10.6k	0%	0x1602…fbb0	42d ago	excluded
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 95¢	$14.7k	95%	curie	42d ago	excluded
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	LOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 41¢	$15.0k	41%	Zzzz87 PROVEN	43d ago	missed
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	MED BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢	$123.7k 3.4× usual	59%	Talvez10 PROVEN	43d ago	called
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	MED BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢	$27.4k	59%	omnibus-076daa PROVEN	43d ago	called
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	MED BUY San Diego Padres @ 58¢	$103.4k 2.1× usual	58%	pleaseplease123	43d ago	called

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsexcluded

SELL San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢$10.6k

LOW 0x1602…fbb0 · 42d ago

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsexcluded

BUY San Diego Padres @ 95¢$14.7k

LOW curie · 42d ago

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsmissed

BUY San Francisco Giants @ 41¢$15.0k

LOW PROVEN Zzzz87 · 43d ago

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantscalled

BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢$123.7k

MED PROVEN Talvez10 · 43d ago

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantscalled

BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢$27.4k

MED PROVEN omnibus-076daa · 43d ago

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantscalled

BUY San Diego Padres @ 58¢$103.4k

MED pleaseplease123 · 43d ago

Whale money on this game, both venues

$10k+ trades we flagged on San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi doesn't show who traded, so one person could be on both venues.

San Diego Padres 9 trades$418.4k

Polymarket $269.1kKalshi $149.3k

San Francisco Giants 2 trades$40.5k

Polymarket $40.5k (this flag)Kalshi none

Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES San Diego	$14.5k	83¢	42d ago
NO San Francisco	$10.5k	82¢	42d ago
YES San Diego	$10.1k	81¢	42d ago
NO San Francisco	$24.8k	80¢	42d ago
YES San Diego	$63.3k	80¢	42d ago
YES San Diego	$19.0k	76¢	42d ago
YES San Diego	$42.3k	75¢	42d ago
NO San Francisco	$12.6k	90¢	42d ago