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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Purdue Boilermakers, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 30¢ · 46,006 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet Painfulvoid took Purdue Boilermakers (buy) for $13.8k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Arizona Wildcats, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Purdue Boilermakers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Mar 28, 14:13 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 28, 20:49 EDT
- Result
- Arizona Wildcats
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Painfulvoid
- Tx
- 0x8f4d58ec…
This wallet's graded record
10/18-8.0 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsPurdue Boilermakers price · entry 30¢ · resolved Arizona Wildcats
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $43.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $1.41M 5.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 85¢ | $69.1k | excluded |