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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?called
$12.8k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 13,204 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Istaroth took No (buy) for $12.8k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3185American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$12.8k
Placed
Apr 30, 02:38 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Istaroth
Tx
0x8cea4f8a…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-8.0 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% MEPP145d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $36.9k
2.6× usual
0% MrNoItAll147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% okcoolstorybro147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% yogapinnacle147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $53.1k
2.5× usual
0% Anjun147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% 0xb121…b73c147d agoexcluded