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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Knicks, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)excluded
$12.6k
BUY Knicks @ 50¢ · 25,236 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xb4f9…c9a7 took Knicks (buy) for $12.6k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved 76ers. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Knicks wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$12.6k
Placed
Oct 20, 18:27 EDT
Market close
Oct 20, 19:00 EDT
Result
76ers
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xb4f9…c9a7
Tx
0x8c7bc8a6…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+28.7 pts
expected 4.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -50 pts
Knicks price · entry 50¢ · resolved 76ers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $12.6k WHALE $12.6K @ 50¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)LOW BUY Knicks @ 51¢ $27.2k51% Woaifacai4d agoexcluded
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)LOW BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $32.9k50% ferrariChampions20264d agoexcluded
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)LOW BUY 76ers @ 50¢ $25.2k50% www511zwin4d agoexcluded
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)HIGH BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $102.1k
2.0× usual
50% BreakTheBank PROVEN4d agoexcluded
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)LOW BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $12.5k50% 0x20d6…38564d agoexcluded
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)LOW BUY Knicks @ 50¢ $25.5k50% 0x8efa…894c4d agoexcluded