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What this means. A wallet put $127.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5excluded
$127.0k
BUY Over @ 58¢ · 218,976 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet perincet555 took Over (buy) for $127.0k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $127.0k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$127.0k
Placed
Jun 13, 20:58 EDT
Market close
Jun 13, 21:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
perincet555
Tx
0x8abebfc1…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+53.3 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Over price · entry 58¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $127.0k WHALE $127.0K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5MED BUY Under @ 42¢ $68.1k
2.1× usual
42% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r133d agoexcluded
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5MED BUY Under @ 41¢ $26.2k41% wr0ngw4yb3tt0r133d agocalled
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 59¢ $67.7k59% CandleHammerDrums133d agomissed
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5MED BUY Under @ 44¢ $31.0k44% swisstony PROVEN134d agocalled
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 54¢ $12.5k54% rabbitfoot1134d agomissed
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $49.9k52% doraem0n134d agomissed