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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$11.0k
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Alegrandebig sold Yes at 98.8¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 1% chance. 11,154 shares, Oct 29, 13:54 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Alegrandebig sold Yes for $11.0k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied 1% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $11.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsYes price · entry 98.8¢ · now 99.2¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢ | $25.5k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $28.4k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |