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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY No @ 95.3¢ · 14,273 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took No (buy) for $13.6k at an average 95.3¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2005American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.3¢
- Implied odds
- 95.3%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Feb 02, 03:29 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0x88be96dd…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $35.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $16.0k | excluded |