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What this means. A wallet put $17.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. It won. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
$17.8k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 26,858 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther

What happened

Wallet Magamyman took Yes (buy) for $17.8k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−195American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
66.1%
Size
$17.8k
Placed
Feb 27, 10:46 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 04:34 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Magamyman
Tx
0x85b8a6bd…
This wallet's graded record
15/15+38.8 pts
expected 9.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +34 pts
Yes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $17.8k WHALE $17.8K @ 66¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% 0x20fe…f411238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% Ingg238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $27.5k0% XZCapital238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $38.8k
2.1× usual
0% westminster238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.9k100% ADancrypto238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $106.0k
2.1× usual
0% 0x1abe…6497238d agoexcluded