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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$13.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
MisTKy sold No at 99.6¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 13,663 shares, Oct 29, 15:28 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet MisTKy sold No for $13.6k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $13.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.1 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · now 99.8¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $11.4k | OpenResolves Oct 31 |