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What this means. A wallet put $28.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded
$28.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 28,376 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet esports095 took No (sell) for $28.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$28.3k
Placed
Mar 26, 23:13 EDT
Market close
Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
esports095
Tx
0x82bb82fd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $28.3k WHALE $28.3K @ 99.6¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 0xb03b…6ca1207d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $58.0k0% tifakers207d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $38.7k0% blgggggg207d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $59.1k
4.0× usual
0% amis208d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $37.0k0% 0xdamocles208d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $134.8k0% 0x3b8d…2ce6209d agoexcluded