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What this means. A wallet put $35.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It won. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.6k
BUY Yes @ 44¢ · 80,866 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Clicker1 took Yes (buy) for $35.6k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- Size
- $35.6k
- Placed
- May 28, 13:04 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Clicker1
- Tx
- 0x81021e5d…
This wallet's graded record
8/13+4.7 pts
expected 7.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +56 ptsYes price · entry 44¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.4k | excluded |