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What this means. A wallet put $26.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed
$26.5k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet 0xf751…fec8 took Yes (buy) for $26.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $26.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
53.0%
Size
$26.5k
Placed
Aug 05, 17:42 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xf751…fec8
Tx
0x803efd96…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-35.2 pts
expected 3.8 from price
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