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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY No @ 97.4¢ · 16,916 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xd165…f2b8 took No (buy) for $16.5k at an average 97.4¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3736American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.4¢
- Implied odds
- 97.4%
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 11:03 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xd165…f2b8
- Tx
- 0x7dc57bda…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+4.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 97.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.6k | excluded |