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What this means. A wallet put $30.3k on Texans, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-15.8 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Texans (-2.5)excluded
$30.3k
BUY Texans @ 52¢ · 58,333 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x16bb…8492 took Texans (buy) for $30.3k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Cowboys. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $30.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Texans wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
52¢
Implied odds
52.0%
As American odds
−108 no vig
Size
$30.3k
Placed
Oct 04, 12:49 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
Result
Cowboys
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x16bb…8492
Tx
0x7bf09227…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-15.8 pts
expected 14.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -52 pts
Texans price · entry 52¢ · resolved Cowboys
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 52¢ · $30.3k WHALE $30.3K @ 52¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Texans (-2.5)LOW BUY Texans @ 52¢ $13.5k52% 0x7b5c…496020d agoexcluded
Spread: Texans (-2.5)LOW BUY Texans @ 52¢ $20.8k52% THEdirkdiggler20d agoexcluded
Spread: Texans (-2.5)MED BUY Texans @ 52¢ $119.3k
9.8× usual
52% COMEONDUDE20d agoexcluded
Spread: Texans (-2.5)LOW BUY Texans @ 52¢ $10.4k52% esportsbetter120d agoexcluded
Spread: Texans (-2.5)MED BUY Texans @ 52¢ $82.9k52% lalalalalalallalalalala20d agomissed
Spread: Texans (-2.5)MED BUY Cowboys @ 47¢ $45.6k47% Kch-Temp PROVEN20d agocalled