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lalalalalalallalalalala

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Indiana vs. Michigan: O/U 41.5−$104Over · avg 55¢ → 55¢ · $11.3k
Price-adjusted edge
+0.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$111.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$458.4k
Last 30 days −$457.5k · $1.65M volume · 47 trades · since Sep 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$189.6k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$646.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
26d
23 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports211.0+0.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Falcons vs. SaintsLOW BUY Falcons @ 47¢ $28.3k47% 19d agocalled
Spread: Texans (-2.5)MED BUY Texans @ 52¢ $82.9k52% 20d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe17872…