← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $54.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$54.0k
BUY No @ 98¢ · 55,102 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 1610desktop took No (buy) for $54.0k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $54.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- Size
- $54.0k
- Placed
- Feb 20, 02:44 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 1610desktop
- Tx
- 0x7ae3fe8b…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+6.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $51.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $576.5k 6.3× usual |
excluded |