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What this means. A wallet put $131.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$131.2k
BUY No @ 82¢ · 160,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Labtrador took No (buy) for $131.2k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $131.2k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−455American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 82.0%
- Size
- $131.2k
- Placed
- Jan 26, 09:26 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Labtrador
- Tx
- 0x79eacf7d…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+10.6 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $103.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |