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What this means. A wallet put $399.4k on Team Falcons, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$399.4k
BUY Team Falcons @ 75¢ · 532,497 shares
Size ≥ $250kLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet8.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Team Falcons (buy) for $399.4k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Team Falcons. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $399.4k+3
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Team Falcons wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.0%
- As American odds
- −300 no vig
- Size
- $399.4k
- Placed
- Aug 27, 13:07 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 27, 13:10 EDT
- Result
- Team Falcons
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x79d9434e…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsTeam Falcons price · entry 75¢ · resolved Team Falcons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded | |
| HIGH SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $536.3k 11.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Team Falcons @ 90¢ | $434.4k 23.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Team Falcons @ 77¢ | $69.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded |