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What this means. A wallet put $536.3k on not Team Falcons, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$536.3k
SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ · 536,864 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet10.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Team Falcons (sell) for $536.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Team Falcons. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $536.3k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $536.3k
- Placed
- Aug 27, 14:48 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 27, 13:10 EDT
- Result
- Team Falcons
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x491be443…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | LOW SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | LOW BUY Team Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | MED BUY Team Falcons @ 90¢ | $434.4k 24.4× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | MED BUY Team Falcons @ 77¢ | $69.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | HIGH BUY Lynn Vision @ 25¢ | $166.8k | excluded |