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What this means. A wallet put $96.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Trump visit China by April 30?called
$96.9k
BUY No @ 96.9¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0x5bff…ffbe took No (buy) for $96.9k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $96.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.9¢
Implied odds
96.9%
Size
$96.9k
Placed
Mar 27, 10:56 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x5bff…ffbe
Tx
0x76d83fa6…
This wallet's graded record
15/18+1.5 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $24.6k100% samemma177d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.7k100% tianjiyuyunzhilu178d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $25.2k0% 0xcf19…6402178d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $49.9k0% 0x5bff…ffbe179d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $12.2k0% 0xshanhai181d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $12.4k0% 0x0a54…4a03181d agoexcluded