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What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.2k
SELL No @ 97¢ · 19,823 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet test124566 took No (sell) for $19.2k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 3.0%
- As American odds
- +3183 no vig
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Mar 20, 10:05 EDT
- Market close
- May 18, 01:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- test124566
- Tx
- 0x74f74751…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+3.7 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $172.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $27.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.4¢ | $44.7k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ | $21.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.3¢ | $15.4k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 6¢ | $53.7k | missed |