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Falcons vs. Packersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Falcons, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY Falcons @ 31¢ · 34,611 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sulumos took Falcons (buy) for $10.7k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Falcons. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Falcons wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Sep 24, 20:54 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 24, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Falcons
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sulumos
- Tx
- 0x7451feb5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-19.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +69 ptsFalcons price · entry 31¢ · resolved Falcons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $31.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $72.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Falcons @ 98¢ | $346.1k 10.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 98¢ | $15.1k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Falcons @ 96.4¢ | $265.1k 6.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 95¢ | $12.8k | excluded |