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What this means. A wallet put $35.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?called
$35.2k
SELL No @ 95.1¢ · 37,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tsekinming01 took No (sell) for $35.2k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $35.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
95.1¢
Implied odds
4.9%
Size
$35.2k
Placed
Feb 18, 07:28 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsekinming01
Tx
0x73e6ea05…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +95 pts
No price · entry 95.1¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95.1¢ · $35.2k WHALE $35.2K @ 95.1¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Euan234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $83.5k100% borntoolate.eth234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $103.1k
3.5× usual
0% Malfunction.234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.4× usual
0% Predictandbreathe234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Malfunction.234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.1k100% HolyMoses7234d agoexcluded