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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY Yes @ 90¢ · 16,200 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet wan123 took Yes (buy) for $14.6k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−896American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Apr 16, 13:53 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0x6fd8dc2b…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $51.8k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.4k | excluded |