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What this means. A wallet put $17.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
$17.3k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 17,390 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet 0x6e8f…162c took No (sell) for $17.3k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$17.3k
Placed
Nov 27, 06:29 EST
Market close
Nov 27, 19:33 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6e8f…162c
Tx
0x6e9ae2e7…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+3.6 pts
expected 1.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.7¢ · $17.3k WHALE $17.3K @ 99.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $35.6k0% debased331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $74.9k
2.1× usual
0% tsybka331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% aenews2 LOSING331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% classified331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.2k100% tsybka331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k100% debased331d agoexcluded