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What this means. A wallet put $37.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?excluded
$37.1k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet norrisfan took No (buy) for $37.1k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $37.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
53.0%
As American odds
−113 no vig
Size
$37.1k
Placed
Feb 17, 14:49 EST
Market close
Feb 17, 15:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
norrisfan
Tx
0x6e93db01…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+19.1 pts
expected 1.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -53 pts
No price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 53¢ · $37.1k WHALE $37.1K @ 53¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.7k0% daytimeBAT1249d agoexcluded
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $159.4k
2.1× usual
0% 3284249d agoexcluded
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ $37.6k48% gmanas249d agoexcluded
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ $29.4k49% 768543265249d agoexcluded
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?LOW BUY No @ 52¢ $11.9k52% 1xx3249d agoexcluded
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?HIGH BUY No @ 52¢ $263.2k
9.9× usual
52% swisstony PROVEN249d agoexcluded