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What this means. A wallet put $20.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?excluded
$20.2k
BUY No @ 97.7¢ · 20,686 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports

What happened

Wallet qwertyjack took No (buy) for $20.2k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4248American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.7¢
Implied odds
97.7%
As American odds
−4248 no vig
Size
$20.2k
Placed
Jun 13, 21:10 EDT
Market close
Jun 14, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
qwertyjack
Tx
0x6dec41b2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+7.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
No price · entry 97.7¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.7¢ · $20.2k WHALE $20.2K @ 97.7¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $39.7k0% shark142132d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $61.1k0% zhqzhq132d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% acorp132d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% Swooferdeluxe132d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
4.1× usual
0% eth10001132d agoexcluded
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% smallqq132d agoexcluded