← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +7.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+7.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$165.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$83.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.33M volume · 5,203 trades · since Mar 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$7,936
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$86.5k
Closed-position win rate
83%
222 closed
Wallet age · markets
208d
221 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +7.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-06-23? | MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $85.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ | $48.5k | excluded |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $11.2k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xa41f7bc26abf650aee09f00481c62797e1c1c0f7"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xa41f7bc26abf650aee09f00481c62797e1c1c0f7.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa41f7b…