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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +38.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+38.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$53.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$107.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.40M volume · 6,765 trades · since Jun 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 414 closed
−$104.2k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$3,654
Closed-position win rate
72%
414 closed
Wallet age · markets
136d
397 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +38.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $34.0k | called |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0e3a76…