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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -54.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-54.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$137.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$335.2k
Last 30 days +$5,067 · $98.85M volume · 218,118 trades · since Oct 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$15.97M
Open P&L · 28 positions
−$580.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
736d
1275 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -54.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $24.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x37e053…