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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on not France, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
SELL France @ 57¢ · 22,035 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Dead-Skylightt took France (sell) for $12.7k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 42.5%
- As American odds
- +135 no vig
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 12:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Dead-Skylightt
- Tx
- 0x6ddd4e55…
This wallet's graded record
4/5-1.1 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsFrance price · entry 57¢ · resolved Spain · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ | $51.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |