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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY No @ 91¢ · 11,384 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet A110 took No (buy) for $10.4k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Feb 11, 13:58 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- A110
- Tx
- 0x6db6d4dd…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-29.3 pts
expected 0.3 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $51.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $576.5k 6.3× usual |
excluded |