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What this means. A wallet put $40.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.4k
BUY Yes @ 91.3¢ · 44,240 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet allen111 took Yes (buy) for $40.4k at an average 91.3¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1052American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.3¢
- Implied odds
- 91.3%
- Size
- $40.4k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 08:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- allen111
- Tx
- 0x6ca2c8d2…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-29.7 pts
expected 6.1 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +2.2 ptsYes price · entry 91.3¢ · now 93.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $31.3k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $16.5k | pending |