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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Yes @ 84¢ · 23,820 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Yes (buy) for $20.0k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−525American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 84.0%
- As American odds
- −525 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 18:19 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x6c6d7ddd…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -84 ptsYes price · entry 84¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $79.6k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 19.2× usual |
excluded |