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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?called
$10.7k
BUY Yes @ 37¢ · 28,803 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet mombil took Yes (buy) for $10.7k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+168American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
37¢
Implied odds
37.3%
Size
$10.7k
Placed
Feb 03, 12:13 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 04:34 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
mombil
Tx
0x6a37e533…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+0.9 pts
expected 8.8 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% 0x20fe…f411238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% Ingg238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $27.5k0% XZCapital238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $38.8k
2.1× usual
0% westminster238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.9k100% ADancrypto238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $106.0k
2.1× usual
0% 0x1abe…6497238d agoexcluded