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What this means. A wallet put $21.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.5k
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ · 21,687 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet MoMBonds took Yes (buy) for $21.5k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.5k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $21.5k
- Placed
- Feb 06, 18:00 EST
- Market close
- Feb 09, 23:34 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MoMBonds
- Tx
- 0x69bdb472…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsYes price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $930.6k 6.0× usual |
excluded |