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What this means. A wallet put $40.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.3k
BUY No @ 92¢ · 43,850 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (buy) for $40.3k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- Size
- $40.3k
- Placed
- Jul 30, 01:19 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0x64ccaf3a…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |