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What this means. A wallet put $18.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?missed
$18.0k
BUY Yes @ 67¢ · 26,783 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Car took Yes (buy) for $18.0k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−206American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
67¢
Implied odds
67.3%
Size
$18.0k
Placed
Mar 01, 07:52 EST
Market close
Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Car
Tx
0x62b9f47f…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-16.1 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.0× usual
0% Trump2028296d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.3k0% Kevindoto296d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $45.0k
2.4× usual
100% TeemuPukki296d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% hollyber296d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.7k100% 0x7ae4…daf6296d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Alexparker296d agoexcluded