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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?called
$10.7k
BUY No @ 96.2¢ · 11,085 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Moonshot1019 took No (buy) for $10.7k at an average 96.2¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2555American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.2¢
Implied odds
96.2%
Size
$10.7k
Placed
Sep 02, 11:41 EDT
Market close
Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Moonshot1019
Tx
0x613833f5…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-11.9 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.2k0% Tigerofthehood20d agoexcluded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% texture22d agoexcluded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $14.1k100% 37ordinary22d agoexcluded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ $10.1k3% Huludubu35d agoexcluded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ $12.3k2% Parz1vaI36d agoexcluded
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ $15.2k2% anoin12336d agoexcluded