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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+7.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
BUY Yes @ 55¢ · 29,054 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Yes (buy) for $16.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 13:56 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0x5ff4e7cb…
This wallet's graded record
16/23+7.5 pts
expected 14.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +45 ptsYes price · entry 55¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 56¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $10.4k | called |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $216.6k | called |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $13.2k | called |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $18.4k | missed |