← Wallets
−$9,922Yamal · avg 41¢ → 24¢ · $15.0k+$79Yes · avg 15¢ → 16¢ · $1,704+$37Yes · avg 12¢ → 18¢ · $105
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -15.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-15.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$34.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$23.6k
Last 30 days −$20.5k · $2.40M volume · 2,173 trades · since Aug 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$427.7k
Open P&L · 159 positions
−$440.2k
Closed-position win rate
91%
149 closed
Wallet age · markets
73d
306 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -15.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $18.4k | missed |
 Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $15.8k | called |
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