← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $34.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.5k
BUY No @ 99¢ · 34,867 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet alliswell took No (buy) for $34.5k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $34.5k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−10341American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 99.0%
- Size
- $34.5k
- Placed
- Apr 15, 22:48 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- alliswell
- Tx
- 0x5dd415ab…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+7.9 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $172.5k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $67.2k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $16.7k | excluded |