← Wallets
−$6Yes · avg 33¢ → 24¢ · $16
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$32.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$8,038
Last 30 days −$7 · $497.9k volume · 377 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$8,032
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$6
Closed-position win rate
54%
26 closed
Wallet age · markets
192d
26 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xce85d4…