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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
BUY Yes @ 95.1¢ · 13,746 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet ClaudeAI took Yes (buy) for $13.1k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1941American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.1¢
- Implied odds
- 95.1%
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- Jan 14, 10:15 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ClaudeAI
- Tx
- 0x5db3be83…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-45.3 pts
expected 5.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |