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Patriots vs. Billsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Billsmissed$14.8k
BUY Bills @ 74¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 4qfrankie took Bills (buy) for $14.8k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 74.0%
- As American odds
- −285 no vig
- Size
- $14.8k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 11:17 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 4qfrankie
- Tx
- 0x5beec6f7…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-34.6 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -74 ptsBills price · entry 74¢ · resolved Patriots
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Bills | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bills | LOW BUY Patriots @ 58¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 82¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 51¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 52¢ | $62.4k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 52¢ | $81.1k 2.6× usual |
excluded |