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What this means. A wallet put $32.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.5k
SELL No @ 98.8¢ · 32,863 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet wkmfa518 took No (sell) for $32.5k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $32.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 1.2%
- Size
- $32.5k
- Placed
- May 16, 04:24 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wkmfa518
- Tx
- 0x5aa8f2e4…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+5.8 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $36.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $53.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |