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What this means. A wallet put $17.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +19.3 pts vs the price over 30 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$17.6k
BUY No @ 98¢ · 17,962 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet purplegatto took No (buy) for $17.6k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98¢
Implied odds
98.0%
As American odds
−4900 no vig
Size
$17.6k
Placed
Jul 09, 16:21 EDT
Market close
Jul 12, 02:56 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
purplegatto
Tx
0x59faa8a4…
This wallet's graded record
27/30+19.3 pts
expected 21.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
No price · entry 98¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98¢ · $17.6k WHALE $17.6K @ 98¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ $439.6k0% 0x2cf1…3ec7 NEW104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $81.9k100% CenterStage104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $65.0k1% jinwujinshu104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $13.7k99% Prometheusssss104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ $433.4k98% 0x2cf1…3ec7 NEW104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $153.6k
4.5× usual
98% jinwujinshu104d agoexcluded