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What this means. A wallet put $17.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +19.3 pts vs the price over 30 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.6k
BUY No @ 98¢ · 17,962 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet purplegatto took No (buy) for $17.6k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- As American odds
- −4900 no vig
- Size
- $17.6k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 16:21 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 12, 02:56 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- purplegatto
- Tx
- 0x59faa8a4…
This wallet's graded record
27/30+19.3 pts
expected 21.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $439.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $81.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $65.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $13.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $433.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $153.6k 4.5× usual |
excluded |