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What this means. A wallet put $64.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$64.2k
BUY No @ 94.5¢ · 67,908 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (buy) for $64.2k at an average 94.5¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $64.2k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1710American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.5¢
- Implied odds
- 94.5%
- Size
- $64.2k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 10:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0x575ccef3…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsNo price · entry 94.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |