← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $17.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.2k
SELL No @ 86¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $17.2k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $17.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 13.8%
- Size
- $17.2k
- Placed
- Mar 27, 03:39 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x5643a01c…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -14 ptsNo price · entry 86¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $12.3k | called |